Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-09 258.148219 291.494974 328.560978 373.005159 425.095692 484.513223 557.844517
2025-03-16 203.777863 246.324988 297.824611 365.481822 453.116666 564.320068 718.595351
2025-03-23 176.924773 223.610143 283.405507 367.017777 483.215659 642.553285 884.050008
2025-03-30 154.876991 202.430334 266.016934 359.349345 496.520148 696.891973 1024.008298
2025-04-06 139.742781 187.922327 254.760727 357.090052 515.121903 759.549077 1187.092368
2025-04-13 123.563636 169.864512 235.964593 340.590735 508.723146 781.212954 1286.158995
2025-04-20 117.529987 165.503407 236.184262 352.289370 547.445360 881.201397 1543.152072
2025-04-27 113.087313 162.883087 238.466563 367.114669 593.013963 1000.482632 1866.350824
2025-05-04 106.125583 155.676984 232.737288 367.798362 613.787159 1078.061236 2125.723117
2025-05-11 97.873563 145.700829 221.554331 357.719571 613.322995 1114.420748 2304.787148
2025-05-18 91.049705 137.431100 212.367653 349.987119 615.936385 1156.981984 2509.494893
2025-05-25 88.239283 135.420608 213.373261 360.558659 655.353312 1283.467217 2959.145720
2025-06-01 83.909036 130.655069 209.417135 361.826432 677.018595 1377.426265 3362.420573
2025-06-08 78.732895 124.090410 201.781234 355.275040 681.527364 1433.426965 3681.454601
2025-06-15 75.253955 120.164965 198.471501 356.724164 703.383569 1535.446760 4179.243808
2025-06-22 70.848229 114.306357 191.159890 349.320878 704.333949 1585.305974 4530.613219
2025-06-29 67.526161 110.140619 186.638549 347.138893 716.963256 1668.512993 5034.183940
2025-07-06 62.721952 103.018676 176.052199 331.201312 694.818784 1652.847795 5171.042962
2025-07-13 61.636026 102.575179 178.133375 342.502279 740.534050 1838.831520 6184.555472
2025-07-20 60.927529 102.765566 181.433662 356.819304 796.301575 2070.013678 7537.738684
2025-07-27 58.747046 100.054232 178.781416 357.479443 816.726287 2197.680216 8509.483346
2025-08-03 55.634622 95.396335 171.897272 347.746863 807.832228 2228.266608 9024.345328
2025-08-10 52.963624 91.444841 166.200395 340.278528 804.226957 2276.511061 9670.611017